PL: Night 15 · Thursday 14 May 2026
Jonny Clayton vs Luke Littler
Utilita Arena, Birmingham · 20:45 GMTPreview
Prediction
Luke Littler
Clear favourite
- Littler leads the Premier League by 5 points and has won three consecutive nights — the strongest run of form all season
- Clayton outaveraged Littler 98.82 to 94.69 in the Night 14 semi-final and still lost 6–5 — the story of Littler vs Clayton this season
- H2H 2026: Littler leads 3–2. Littler won in Night 5 final, Night 12 final (6–1), Night 14 SF. Clayton won Night 3 SF (6–1) and Night 11 final.
Stat worth knowing
Clayton outaveraged Littler in their last meeting and lost. He did the same in the Night 12 final — Littler won 6–1 despite Clayton averaging more. Littler wins these matches by converting the critical legs, not by outscoring. Clayton's 6 finals and 4 wins represent the most sustained excellence in the field outside of Littler — this is the marquee match of the night. Both need to win it for different reasons: Littler to extend his lead, Clayton to keep the title race alive.
Stats verdict
Littler on form, wins, and head-to-head — the pick. But Clayton is the only player in the field who has beaten him in a decisive match this season.