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Night 16 · Thu 21 May · Utilita Arena, Sheffield

Who the stats back

The final league night — seedings for Finals Night on the line

The number that matters tonight

Price and Humphries are locked at 24 points. The seeding battle is worth £60,000.

All four play-off spots are confirmed — Littler (41), Clayton (34), Price (24), Humphries (24). But 3rd seed plays Clayton in the semi-final; 4th seed plays Littler. The semi-final winner earns £170,000, the loser £110,000. Whoever scores more points tonight between Price and Humphries takes 3rd. If they tie, leg difference applies. No night in the regular season has carried this much individual financial weight.

Quarter-final · 19:15 GMTStrong edgeClayton
Jonny Clayton

95.99

2026 avg

4W·6F·34pt

Avg diff

+1.3

Stephen Bunting

97.33

2026 avg

13pt·1F·1W

  • Clayton has 34 points — second in the standings — and 4 night wins this season. Bunting has 13 points and 0 night wins from 15 nights.
  • Night 15: both players lost 6–0 in their quarter-finals — Clayton to Littler, Bunting to Humphries. Their worst results of the season on the same night.
  • Their only 2026 meeting: Clayton beat Bunting 6–5 in the Night 12 quarter-final.

Stat worth knowing

Clayton's season average (95.99) is the second-lowest in the field — below Bunting's 97.33 — yet Clayton has 34 points to Bunting's 13. The difference is winning the legs that matter, not outaveraging the opponent. Clayton makes finals; Bunting wins individual legs but rarely converts.

Verdict

Clayton on points, head-to-head, and winning mentality. The Night 15 whitewash was an outlier, not a trend.

Full analysis →
Quarter-final · 19:45 GMTClear edgePrice
Gerwyn Price

98.49

2026 avg

2W·4F·24pt

Avg diff

+2.5

Gian van Veen

95.99

2026 avg

18pt·4F·0W

  • Exact rematch of the Night 15 semi-final — Price beat van Veen 6–4 just seven days ago with checkouts of 112 and 109.
  • Price is now 3–1 against van Veen in 2026 Premier League matches, winning each of their last three meetings.
  • This fixture determines seedings: Price (24 pts) and Humphries (24 pts) are level — more points tonight could lock in 3rd seed and a semi-final against Clayton rather than Littler.

Stat worth knowing

Van Veen averaged over 102 in the Night 15 QF win over Rock, reached the semi-final, and still has zero night wins this season. Price hit eight 180s in his Night 15 QF — his most in a single match all year. Beyond the result, this match carries direct financial weight: if Price outscores Humphries tonight, he claims 3rd seed and faces Clayton rather than Littler at The O2 — where the semi-final winner earns £170,000 against £110,000 for losing.

Verdict

Price on current form, recent head-to-head, and the bigger incentive. The correct statistical pick.

Full analysis →
Quarter-final · 20:15 GMTStrong edgeLittler
Luke Littler

99.74

2026 avg

6W·7F·41pt

Avg diff

+2.7

Josh Rock

97.08

2026 avg

8pt·0F·0W

  • Littler has 41 points — 7 more than Clayton in second — and clinched the top seed for Finals Night with his 6–0 win over Clayton in Night 15.
  • Rock has 8 points from 15 nights — the lowest total of any player in the field. Night 15: lost 6–3 to van Veen in the quarter-final.
  • H2H 2026: Littler beat Rock 6–3 in the Night 13 quarter-final — their only Premier League meeting this season.

Stat worth knowing

Rock's season average of 97.08 is the highest of any player with fewer than 10 points. He consistently outputs quality darts but has lost 12 of 15 quarter-finals, many by narrow margins. Against Littler — who has won every close match he has played all season — that pattern does not improve.

Verdict

Littler on form, standings, and head-to-head. The most predictable result of the night.

Full analysis →
Quarter-final · 20:45 GMTClear edgeHumphries
Luke Humphries

99.25

2026 avg

1W·4F·24pt

Avg diff

+1.6

Michael van Gerwen

97.67

2026 avg

18pt·4F·1W

  • Humphries averaged 107.36, 110.98, and 100.16 across his three Night 15 matches — the highest sustained three-match series of any player in the 2026 season.
  • MvG has 18 points from 15 nights and was eliminated in the Night 15 quarter-final. He is out of contention for the play-offs.
  • H2H 2026: Humphries beat MvG 6–3 in Night 13; MvG beat Humphries 6–2 in Night 1 — one win each.

Stat worth knowing

Like Price in QF2, Humphries (24 pts) needs points tonight to potentially claim 3rd seed — which means facing Clayton rather than Littler in the semi-final at The O2. Seeding is worth £60,000 before a dart is thrown in the final. MvG averaged 107.54 in a Night 12 semi-final and still lost — he is capable on any given night. Humphries is the man in hottest form in the competition. The most consequential quarter-final on the card.

Verdict

Humphries on recent form and head-to-head advantage. MvG is the most likely source of an upset.

Full analysis →