CHINA vs FRANCE result - WORLD CUP 2026 — GROUP I

Win probability based on our pre-match model.

FRANCE came through 4–3 in a genuine dogfight. With just 1 leg separating the sides, it went to the wire before FRANCE held on.

FRANCE were the 64% favourites but were made to earn it in a way our 64% rating didn't suggest. The 4–3 scoreline reflects a match that was far from straightforward, the result came in, but not with the comfort our model had in mind.