FINLAND vs HUNGARY result - WORLD CUP 2026 — GROUP L

Win probability based on our pre-match model.

HUNGARY came through 4–0, a clear enough result on paper, though FINLAND pushed hard in patches, but HUNGARY always had a response.

This was an upset. Our model rated FINLAND at 54%, and the result was emphatic and our stats got it wrong. FINLAND will have few excuses for a defeat that wide.