PHILIPPINES vs NEW ZEALAND result - WORLD CUP 2026 — GROUP A

Win probability based on our pre-match model.

PHILIPPINES came through 4–1, a comfortable enough margin on paper, though NEW ZEALAND pushed hard in patches, but PHILIPPINES always had a response.

PHILIPPINES entered as 55% favourites and came through with room to spare. Exactly the kind of result our model suggested was likeliest, our stats had this leaning their way, but they still had to produce under tournament conditions.